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Tinder or United Nations – Whom would you trust more to find a way to save the planet with?

Ulrich Graute • 16 July 2023

People, planet, prosperity, peace, partnerships and 'leaving no one behind' – all pillars of the UN sustainability agenda are in peril now!


In 2015 the member states of the UN agreed on the 2030 Agenda and 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). The 17 SDGs were structured around the five pillars people, planet, prosperity, peace, and partnerships. Well, at mid-point of the SDG implementation in 2023 all five pillars and the promise of the 2030 Agenda to ‘leave no one behind’ are at risk of not being achieved..

 

In April 2023 the UN Secretary General issued a special report ‘Progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals: Towards a Rescue Plan for People and Planet’. According to a preliminary assessment of around 140 targets with data, only about 12% are on track. Nearly 50% of the targets are moderately or severely off track and approximately 30% have either stagnated or “regressed below the 2015 baseline.” The report puts forward five recommendations to rescue the Sustainable Development Goals and accelerate implementation between now and 2030.


Important is the word ‘towards’ in the title because the report does not describe and agreed rescue plan covering the five Ws: Why, What needs to be done When by Whom and with What means. Instead, it is a policy paper with some suggestions for Member State consideration in advance of the UN SDG Summit in September of this year. Therefore, for the time being the SDG remain without a rescue plan.

 

Attending a High Level Political Forum on Sustainable Development this month in New York I saw all present senior managers of the UN, representatives of members states and stakeholder organizations agreeing that the SDG implementation show only fragile progress, slow momentum and that many goals are off track. And if the Secretary General as top diplomat of the UN titles his special report ‘Towards a Rescue Plan for People and Planet’ all alarm bells should be ringing. Humanity is in peril and the UN issues a cry for help to save people, planet and with it the UN itself. At the same time UN managers did everything to keep up the mood and demonstrated progress in new projects and initiatives. This is good leadership if admitting delays and motivation for accelerated action and a call for new ideas and initiative go hand in hand.



Tinder recommends swiping as the way to find someone with whom to save the planet

Is it a coincidence or not? While delegates at the UN started discussing the need to save people and planet, the dating platform Tinder started running an advertising campaign in subways of New York offering its own approach on how to save the planet: Go online and find someone on Tinder to save the planet with. Whatever the interest of Tinder in saving the planet may be, they sense that there are many people interested in saving the planet. Of course, they play with people's emotions and suggest to find the right partner for the endevor of saving the planet by swiping through Tinder. Of course, Tinder is not offering to rescue the world but similar to the UN Tinder is proposing a way 'towards' saving the planet. And if that could be achieved by swiping through Tinder that would be an interesting opportunity. 


How to get big things done – The High Level Political Forum (HLPF) in New York

To not get frustrated about the state of global governance of sustainable development and to not depend on the offer by Tinder during my current ravel to New York, I brought with me as inspiring travel literature the book by Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardener ‘How Big Things Get Gone – The Surprising Factors Behind Every Successful Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration’. To say it straight out, Flyvbjerg is also not recommending the Tinder option, although …. he is a big supporter of testing: try, learn, and do it again. He describes in his book several cases and explains why and how the best solution may need many tests and trial runs in the planning phase (e.g. his chapter on Pixar Planning). And yes, what is not useful he would suggest to swipe it away.


Why? Really? Why do we have the 2030 Agenda?

Flyvbjerg recommends to answer the 5 W questions when planning, implementing and evaluating big projects. And the first and most important is the question Why a project is to be implemented. Flyvbjerg gives the example of the  prominent architect Frank Gehry who had the habit of painstakingly digging deep on the question why a new client wants a project. This was not because he didn't want the new contract but he needed to know the real motivation. The planning of a project or policy is mostly not costly compared to construction and implementation but if the motivation for the client is not clear the plan and its implementation may hit the wall by getting over budget, over time and that over and over again.

 

Okay now, why did the world agree on the SDG? In 2015 when the SDG were approved all supporters said that they want the agenda because the 17 goals are what the world needs. That was idealistic. What they didn’t say is that there remained a plethora of other vested interests of countries, institutions and individuals that just continued to exist and which interfered with the goals of the agenda. In other words, they agreed on the 2030 Agenda but without making it their maxim for acting. 


In addition, the 2030 Agenda was approved without establishing implementation structure with respective rules, regulations and ressources. There was a long political process beginning in 2012 that lead to the SDG in 2015 but there was no experience based planning process preparing the implementation. Over the years elements of a plan were developped as in the field of financing for sustainable development but they still lack the necessary commitment. Instead, a kind of a trick was applied by giving no implementation mandate e.g. to the UN. Instead, the implementation of the goals remained within the responsibility of each member state. And most of the work would have to be done at the local level. Unfortunately, local authorities were not included to the decision making at the UN level. Worse, in most countries the implementation of the 2030 Agenda began without a robust planning. In conclusion, it seems correct to note that the implementation of the 2030 Agenda and the SDG has never been planned properly. Therefore, being off track with limited progress and slow momentum shouldn't come as a surprise.


 

Let’s get back to the drawing board and do big things better by not only organizing new summits but by better planning the implementation


Just to repeat: A preliminary assessment of the roughly 140 SDG targets with data show only about 12% are on track; close to half, though showing progress, are moderately or severely off track and some 30% have either seen no movement or regressed below the 2015 baseline. It's late but it's not too late to go back to the drawing board. Better late than never.


The UN is now preparing an 'SDG Summit' for September 2023 and a second 'Summit of the Future' in September 2024.In preparation the UN is issuing a series of Policy Briefs and the above mentioned report 'Towards a Rescue Plan of the SDGs'. Also, there are new ideas and initiatives and there are engaged people and institutions. That is all great and need to be appreciated. But it is liekely that all this won't be enough. Already now we can see that old mistakes are repeated: The UN is focussing on th epolitical process with two Summits with up to 193 Heads of State as milestones.


Rescuing people and planet is a noble undertaking but as any medical doctor can tell a rescue may include a triage, amputation and reduction of ambitions. Can we afford that and at whose cost would come a reduced focus and ambition? The only way to prevent a weak outcome of the Summits and to agree on goals which leave no one behind would be propper planning for the time after the Summits. Goals should only be agreed it the 5 Ws are answered ahead of the implementation phase. And let's be flexible. The year 2030 is not given by law. Deadlines for goals should be ambitious but realistic.


And where are the people in the process? The 'We, the people' as it famously says in the UN Charter have no place in this process, although it might end with decisions about the approach to rescue people and planet. Flivbjerg refers in his book to the importants of experience including the 'unfrozen experience' of people. In this sense the rescue effort has to be people centred to be succesful.


We cannot swipe the problems away, and UN and member states cannot solve the problems without the support of all people. Of course, 7 or 8 billion people don't fit into the UN General Assembly Hall but there are many other methods and tools to engage citizens. The world is devided in many ways but in spite of all conflicts, differences and inequality in the world there is at least one point on which all people can agree on: They want to live and they want to live with a decent quality of life. Ask a Russian or Ukraining soldier, ask refugees or people suffering hunger. Of course, the Charter of the UN, the Human Rights Charter and other international agreements list more achievements than just the right and desire to live. These achievements should be preserved but if even the UN sees people and planet in peril international cooperation should set the first priority on assuring that all people including future generations can live on this planet.


Proper planning for the implementation of the existing, an enhanced or a new agenda for development would also be a sign of commitment and that decision makers are serious about rescuing people and planet. Flyvbjerg also calls for a single, determinded organisation. That can be seen as a sign that the UN will be further needed but it may also indicate that the mandate and the overlap of responsibility may need to be reviewed to have a functional organization to assure implementation across the multilevel system of governance. As last recommendation from Flyvbjerg I would like to highlight his suggestion to think from the right to the left, i.e. to first think about what exactly is aimed at (the famous Why question) and that to design the steps leading to the goal.  


And yes, if you, dear reader, should hesitate to fight on your own you may use a dating platform to team up with someone to save the planet with. Alternatively, you may as well attend UN meetings, join civil society organizations or research groups studying how to best rescue people and planet. There are everywhere people ready to get engaged for life on this planet. They have shown before that big things get done and I belief that together we will be able to demonstrate this again now.

Policies and Governance for Resilient and Sustainable Cities and Regions

by Ulrich Graute 19 October 2024
Report on the Urban Conversation on Ethical Use of AI in Urban Planning at the 60th World Planning Congress in Siena, Italy on 11 OCTOBER 2024
by Ulrich Graute 1 October 2024
Date: 11 October 2024 Time: 10:45 - 13:15 Room: Accademie. Fisiocritici Session background and a short description of the Content Cities form the heart of human development and innovation, with 80% of global GDP generated within them and according to the United Nations approximately 56% of the world’s population now live in cities, and likely to reach nearly 70% by 2050. At the same time, the urban world is on a journey to revitalize cities, build new cities for growing populations, to dismantle inequalities, and to create a sustainable urban legacy for future generations. The growth and demands of cities are rapidly changing and looking (or exploring) for new systems and planning tools. In this situation, Artificial Intelligence (AI) provides a transformative potential in managing and planning cities. It can support, analyze, and predict the impact of policy changes, demographic shifts and development plans. AI facilitates a valuable foundation for productive dialogue and constructive debate between municipal authorities, and the public and private sector. AI enables the People-focused city through systems integration and collaborations. Simultaneously, the application of generative AI in the public domain brings a number of risks and pitfalls. To assure an ethical use of the new wave of innovation in planning it is necessary to strike a careful balance between risk mitigation and harnessing its capabilities for public good and resilience. The central concept of modern Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the intelligent agent. As of today, we have limitations to building one general-purpose AI program that does everything, instead AI developers build different types of agent programs for different types of problems and contexts. AI researchers agree that the new wave of innovation will impact all spheres of life and require more actors for future developments of AI. The discussion on the use of AI cannot be left alone to IT programmers and code developers. In this context, the objective of the conversation is to bring together planning practitioners and experts from city-making to discuss the use and potential impact of AI in urban planning and management and the related leadership of ISOCARP in the global dialogue on AI governance and capacity building of planners. Recent examples eg from Australia and Saudi Arabia will be presented along with panel discussions. Session Organizers Dr Ulrich Graute, Chair of the ISOCARP Scientific Committee, Berlin Dr Sunil Dubey, The UNSW Cities Institute, Sydney. 1. Introduction to the theme of the session by Ulrich Graute 2. The making of inclusive, prosperous and sustainable cities and the new challenges and opportunities provided by AI and Data 2.1 The case of Australia - Key note by Dr Sarah Hill, CEO Greater Sydney Commission and Western Parkland City Authority (New South Wales Govt, former) ‘Planning New Cities and Inclusive economic development’ - Western Sydney Aerotropolis – Australia’s 22nd Century City Making through Community, Creativity and Innovation. 2.2 The case of Saudi Arabia (10 min) Progress, Peace & Prosperity 2030 – How Saudi Cities are transforming using data and power of Ai. Dr Sunil Dubey 3. Roundtable Moderation: Ulrich Graute Guiding questions include AI in Urban Planning: Navigating the Intersection of Technology and Values – AI as a technical tool and/or as co-pilot in planning New Cities and inclusive economic development. Including AI in existing planning systems and processes and the requirement eg of a regulatory framework and capacity-building. What shape will AI have on future cities? ISOCARP and the new wave of technological innovation. Panelists: Sarah Hill, Executive Project Director (Public Investment Fund PIF, Saudi Arabia) Eric Huybrecht, Congress Director ISOCARP’s 60th WPC, Institute Paris Region Elisabeth Belpaire, ISOCARP President-Elect Ulrich Graute, Chair of ISOCARP SciCom Sunil Dubey, Smart Cities thought leader. Website of the 60th ISOCARP World Planning Congress https://isocarp.org/activities/60th-wpc-siena-2024/ Website of the Academy of Social Sciences (UK) AI in urban planning: risks and opportunities https://acss.org.uk/publications/ai-in-urban-planning-risks-and-opportunities/
by Ulrich Graute 15 August 2024
Privacy Communicting with AI raises privacy concerns A CV is personal documents including private information you may not want to share with everybody. Therefore, the sending of your CV to somebody (eg as part of an application or business offer) is usually considered as confidential. Using generative AI, for instance ChatGPT, to work on your CV, website or LinkedIn profile should be carefully considered because the info you share about yourself with ChatGPT stays with ChatGPT even if you delete it from your account after you finished your conversation. Nonetheless, I decided to take it easier using AI because my profile and CV is no secret in anyway. Through dozens of publications since the 1990s, speeches at many conferences worldwide, as blogger with an own website (www.ugraute.de) and a LinkedIn profile with close to 6000 followers you can find everything what’s written in my CV somewhere on the internet. And, most importantly, I carefully review everything that AI suggests to me, I review and finalize texts before I use them. While I cannot fully exclude misuse of information, the responsibility for the content of my website and CV remains with me. And I still use a CV version not aided by AI for business offers and applications. AI as a second eye - When should you consider using AI to review your CV and profile? After 16 years of mostly (but not only) working for the United Nations I am now shifting more attention beyond the UN to the private sector, national and local authorities, other international organizations, NGOs etc. All UN agencies have their own mandates, interests and priorities. As UN staffer and later as UN consultant I learnt the rules of the institution and lived with the limitations they generate for management and goal achievement. However, the UN, with its historical baggage of countless mandates, inadequate structures and resources and some overly cautious employees, at times stands in its own way. I want to continue supporting global cooperation using my global perspective, my skills in project and program management, cross-cultural communication, policy analysis and stakeholder cooperation. However, it is time to refocus and look at my skills and achievements from a different, a non-UN perspective. This is where AI comes into play as an additional opportunity to support the reorientation of my or your career. AI supports my own reflections on my interests and strategy and it does it in a very inspirational way. I recommend the same to others but, if possible, it should be only an opportunity in addition to exchange with friends, colleagues, books, trainers, coaches etc. How did I use Chat GPT to review my website and CV? ChatGPT is a conversational tool, and it’s for free in its basic version. You can login here: https://chatgpt.com/auth/login. After opening an account and login you find a box where you can enter you question (called prompt). You push Enter and get an answer within seconds. If the answer is not inspirational, correct or satisfying you just go on submitting a new or modified prompt. This way conversations with ChatGPT becomes conversational and easy. In this process ChatGPT gets to know you better and learns from your prompts. Prompting, ie formulating the right questions is key to get useful answers out of the conversation and it’s worth to spend some time training how to prompt. In my case, an earlier prompt submitted to ChatGPT had produced already this suggestion: “Adjust your communication style to match the language and expectations of non-UN clients, avoiding overly technical or UN-specific jargon.” That was the point when ChatGPT confirmed my own guess that I have to change communication when I look beyond the UN world. To further explore this, I submitted additional prompts including this one: “ChatGPT, please rewrite my CV in a style more appealing to private companies.” The answer after my own review and fine tuning produced the short CV version which you can find here: https://www.ugraute.de/bio-and-cv Could I have produced this without AI? Of course, I have produced two pages versions of my CV on my own. The point is, that many things which are super important at the UN as “ an animal of its own kind ” are not so relevant outside of the UN. In such situations it may take a lot of time to decide what to leave in and what to take out of your CV. A second eye like AI proposing specific cuts and a repackaging can be very inspirational and helpful to get a fresh and crispier look at your own experience and credentials. I also liked very much that ChatGPT explained its approach to me: “To make your CV more appealing to private companies, I'll focus on making the language more dynamic, emphasizing your key achievements, leadership roles, and strategic impact. I'll also streamline the format for clarity and brevity.” Of course, I reviewed the suggested version of my CV and other website texts revised by AI to confirm the correctness of the content. Overall, this review exercise is a test to use a new technical tool. It is certainly inspirational. Success remains to be seen but that is also the case when I review my CV for an application or if I review my website in a traditional way. I decided for an open approach to use AI and to talk about my personal experience in this post, because in this new wave of innovation, we are all learners and can help each other. As adviser, I like to share, teach, and keep learning, inside or outside of the UN.
by Ulrich Graute 8 August 2024
Figure: Human-in-the-loop intervention. ‘The Ethical Concerns of Artificial Intelligence in Urban Planning’ Thomas W. Sanchez, Marc Brenman, and Xinyue Ye (2024)
by Ulrich Graute 3 August 2024
Human Compatible - AI and the Problem of Control
by Ulrich Graute 9 July 2024
A slide from the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) presented at the opening of HLPF highlights that only 17% of the SDG targets are on track
by Ulrich Graute 5 July 2024
Background and Objectives The Gerd Albers Award (GAA) is celebrating inspiring publications such as books and essays. It was established in 1999 in honor of Professor Gerd Albers, a co-founder and past president of ISOCARP, who placed a particular emphasis on the task of publishing as a means of elucidating both the current debate and practical achievements in the planning field. This reputable award is given for the high-quality academic publications written by ISOCARP members. Eligible entries Pertinent submissions include the following publications by ISOCARP members published in the period between July 1, 2023, and June 31, 2024: • Books and/or Book chapters • Journal articles • Published project reports Exhibition catalogues and/or unpublished reports are ineligible. Unpublished journal articles are eligible if the publisher’s acceptance letter is attached to the article submitted. Evaluation criteria Content: • Thematic introduction • Contribution to discussions on the topic • Consistence and coherence (conceptual background, methodological approach) • Target audience Design: • Clarity • Technical requirements • Production Language All languages are eligible, although the “official languages” of the Society are English, French, German, and Spanish. Non-English entries must have an extended abstract in English (min. 3 pages). Jury The jury consists of three members of the ISOCARP Scientific Committee and the A&P Program Director. The deliberations and votes of the jury are confidential. Prof. Sebnem Hoskara Dr. Ulrich Graute Dr. Dorota Kamrowska-Załuska Prof. Ali A. Alraouf (A&P Program Director) Substance of the Award The Award is bestowed in three categories: GAA ‘Best Book’, GAA ‘Best Article’ and Special Mention. The Award winners are announced during the official ceremony at the ISOCARP annual World Planning Congress. GAA ‘Best Book’ and GAA ‘Best Article’ get two years of free membership to ISOCARP, official ISOCARP award certification and its dissemination through the ISOCARP website, social media and newsletter. Special Mention gets an official ISOCARP award certification and its dissemination through the ISOCARP website, social media and newsletter. Who is eligible? • Scholars • Writers • Book Authors • Researchers • Urban and City Critics • Professors and Academics Prize • Recognition at the ISOCARP 60th Congress in Siena at the Awards Special Session. • Certificate. • ISOCARP Medal. • Waiving form the registration for a single representative of the winners. • One year Membership at ISOCARP for a single representative of the winners. Registration fee 150 Euros for each entry in the Best Book Award (a candidate can apply with multiple proposals). 50 Euros for each entry in the Best Paper Award (a candidate can apply with multiple proposals). Submission material ⦁ Contribution (book/chapter/article) in pdf format Application procedure 1. Submit your online application https://isocarp.org/gerd-albers-award-2024-submission-form/ 2. Pay the registration fee: 150 Euros for Best Book Award and 50 Euros for Best Paper Award 3. Please, send your application to Ali Alraouf, ISOCARP Board member (alialraouf@isocarp.org) and ISOCARP HQ (awards@isocarp.org). Kindly specify the email subject: GAA 2024 Candidature. Deadline for submission August 15, 2024 Submit your application here https://isocarp.org/gerd-albers-award-2024-submission-form/
by Ulrich Graute 1 July 2024
International Organizations like the UN are struggling if not failing to cope with the many crises - but can I do any better as independent advisor? 
by Ulrich Graute 21 June 2024
IAG Briefing Series This briefing series by the International Advisory Group of the Academy of Social Sciences of the United Kingdom seeks to bring an international dimension to the Academy’s policy positions and identify interdisciplinary solutions to complex challenges facing society from a global standpoint.
by Ulrich Graute 14 June 2024
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