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Planning New Inclusive Cities using Smart Tech and Artificial Intelligence

Ulrich Graute • 19 October 2024

Report on the Urban Conversation on Ethical Use of AI in Urban Planning at the 60th World Planning Congress in Siena, Italy on 11 OCTOBER 2024

The Future of Cities – AI as friend or Foe for Cities !

There are different entry points to deal with Artificial Intelligence (AI) depending weather you are an AI researcher, an IT programmer, code developer, an investor etc. At the 60th World Planning Congress of the International Society of City and Regional Planners ISOCARP on 8-12 October in Siena, Italy, urban and regional planners, academics and practitioners gathered for an Urban Conversation to discuss opportunities and threats related to new innovations like AI.  

The panel speakers, thought leaders and critical thinkers in the conference room approached AI with the perspective of planners and city makers. The guiding question was formulated by Keynote Speaker Dr. Sarah Hill, the former CEO of the Greater Sydney Commission (GSC) and Western Parkland City Authority (WPCA, NSW Govt Australia) and Executive Project Director (PIF, Saudi Arabia): In adapting one of Jan Gehl’s famous city quotes – that whilst we may well shape our cities and they in turn shape us, she asked: “What shape will AI have on future cities and the ethics of those who plan them?” 

Dr. Sunil Dubey of UNSW Cities Institute, Australia established underlying innovation links from ancient cities to modern day city making in countries like Australia and Saudi Arabia. He demonstrated how (innovative) language was always a key to human life and city development from the Cuneiform (31st Century BC to 2nd Century AC) at the ancient city of Nimrud to the binary code of our computers and now to the Large Language Models used in AI. Language is the basis for Community, Creativity and Innovation as they are at the core of the New City -Bradfield Western Sydney Aerotropolis in Australia. Sunil’s presentation was important. Not that it diminished risks and the call for attention with respect to innovation and AI but it framed future AI development and use as part of an ongoing cultural and societal development which reaches thousands of years back. In doing so he took a strong position regarding the important role of cities for sustainable development. For instance, he quoted his mentor and the former Secretary General of United Cities and Local Governments UCLG Joseph Roig: ‘the future path for global peace & prosperity must go through Cities. The transition from Nationhood to Cities is challenging due to competing power pressures but global peace & prosperity will not be established without Cities Leading the charge.’

The important technical innovation through AI was not at the center of the Urban Conversation. However, Dr. Ulrich Graute quoted in his introduction goals and concerns coming from AI researchers, including Stuart Russel of the University of Berkeley, California.

Important is Russel’s indication that he is ‘fairly confident that we have some breathing space because there are several major breakthroughs needed between here and superintelligence’ which is confirmed by other AI researchers. There are so many insecurities regarding AI that the IMF recommends governments to prepare for both, massive disruption, in the case that AI should impact an estimated 40 percent of global employment, and for business as usual in case that the current AI hype should pass and just leave some technical tools as earlier innovation waves did. It is also too early to answer the guiding questions of the Urban Conversation on the impact AI will have on the future of cities. However, panellists concurred that AI is an important new subject for urban and regional planning and for cooperation within ISOCARP to lead the Global Dialogues on AI in Future Cities.


Sunil presented a strong case with Innovation examples on Riyadh leading the Urban Innovation AI campaign for the Middle Est Region in promoting Peace, Progress & Prosperity through capacity building and City Leadership campaigns led by Mayor Dr Faisal. He further pursued the role of Riyadh in leading the ISOCARP Innovation and AI global campaigns and establishing AI focused City Leadership Lab in collaboration with global institutions like IMF, World Bank and WEF. It is time to act now and to ensure we are on a socially beneficial path with AI in cities, we must start with a broader discussion, encompassing many more stakeholders than just the most powerful tech leaders, on what we can achieve with these new tools and what we want from them.


As an Urban Conversation (in contrast to a general dialogue on AI) it was important that Sarah Hill in the first part of her keynote presented some context to the case of Bradfield, why Australia is building a new city and the aim to enhance social equity and inclusion across Greater Sydney. In the second part she focused on how she and her team are using smart technology to help achieve these objectives. The third part of her speech provided commentary on the role AI could play, perhaps should play and certainly should not play in planning new cities and community infrastructure.  In her current role she and her team are pushing AIs design capability even further to help ideate what our cities could deliver with unique building design. Equally they are testing the practical function and Their masterplans and what outcomes they could achieve.


Sarah Hill has no doubt that AI will bring a transformative force – but the question is whether we can harness this force for good and ultimately whether the change will have positive or negative consequences to social inclusion. According to her and other discussants at the panel and in the audience, this is one of many topics concerning AI that is of heated debate. Indeed, there are some extreme theories about the potential negative effects to humanity as a result of AI. Also relevant, by AIs own admission, if its algorithms are written by homogenous teams that do not represent the mix of communities they serve, decision bias can in fact be exacerbated to disastrous effect. For example, when bias facial recognition systems are used to determine access to public spaces, airports or schools or when it is used for surveillance.


Digital literacy is also a matter of debate in the context of AI and social inclusion. As she and her team identified during our research in Greater Sydney, the digital divide is a real and present issue, that was exacerbated by the ability of some families to afford technology during Covid19 and for older or more marginalized communities to feel comfortable using it.


Despite their best intentions with designing Bradfield with social inclusion as a foundational principle, she would not be surprised if this divide between the early and later adopters of this technology grows before it improves owing to the sheer rate of change.


There are also notable debates about ownership and control of big data, let alone who writes the algorithms that feed AI. The communications centre in Bradfield is live example of this honeypot of data. The potential to work with the centre to design and run this facility secured significant interest from global firms wanting to use it to showcase their new technology and systems and get a stronghold in the market.


And finally, the predicative capability of AI and its ability to iterate its thinking and thereby decision making independently is both a positive if you think about applications to managing carbon and energy loads or the effective operation of our cities, but also a likely terrifying negative. Particularly given the inability for humans now to track, let alone keep up with how AI derived solutions or decisions.


In wrapping up, Sarah Hill congratulated ISOCARP for putting the Planning and AI agenda as a priority for the professionals and decision makers in the room today.


My own takeaway as moderator of the session is that the new wave of innovation around AI is very dynamic and difficult to predict in detail. And because AI is expected to impact all spheres of life we need a broader discussion, encompassing many more stakeholders than just the most powerful tech leaders, on what we can achieve with these new tools and what we want from them. We'll need capacity building to increase AI literacy and then we’ll need a lot of interface management between the development of AI applications, the different user and affected stakeholder groups. AI is already entering the stage with the intention to stay. It’s up to us to assign to AI its role and function e.g. in planning and by that we also decide if AI applications remain just technical tools under our full control, turn into co-pilots influencing our perception and decision-making, or if we even allow AI to take full control over us. AI has no ethics on its own. The ethical use of AI will depend on how we use AI and how we program our objectives and ethical standards into learning machines.



T H E   P A N E L

Sarah Hill, Sunil Dubey and, on the right, the two together with ISOCARP President Elizabeth Belpaire, Ulrich Graute and Congress Director Eric Huybrecht



Picture: Speakers, Panelists, Moderator and the Delegation from Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

 

Programme of the Urban Conversation on 11 October 2024 in Siena, Italy


11 October 2024
Time:    10:45 - 13:15
Room:  Accademie. Fisiocritici

           

Session Organizers   

            Dr Ulrich Graute, Chair of the ISOCARP Scientific Committee, Berlin

            Dr Sunil Dubey, The UNSW Cities Institute, Sydney.

 

1.    Introduction to the theme of the session by Ulrich Graute

 

2.    The making of inclusive, prosperous and sustainable cities and the new challenges and opportunities provided

       by AI and Data


2.1 The case of Australia 

-      Key note by Dr Sarah Hill, CEO Greater Sydney Commission and Western Parkland City Authority (New       

       South Wales Govt, former) ‘Planning New Cities and Inclusive economic development’


2.2  -Western Sydney Aerotropolis – Australia’s 22nd Century City Making through Community, Creativity and               Innovation.

       - The case of Saudi Arabia - Progress, Peace & Prosperity 2030 – How Saudi Cities are transforming using               data and power of Ai.     

       Presentation by Dr Sunil Dubey

 

4.    Roundtable moderated by Ulrich Graute

 

 Panellists:

Sarah Hill, Executive Project Director (Public Investment Fund PIF, Saudi Arabia)

Eric Huybrecht, Congress Director ISOCARP’s 60th WPC, Institute Paris   

Region

Elisabeth Belpaire, ISOCARP President

 Ulrich Graute, Chair of ISOCARP Scientific Committee

 Sunil Dubey, Smart Cities thought leader.

 


Thanks to the Congress team for the organization, to Dr Sunil Dubey for co-organizing the session with me and thanks to Siena for the excellent hospitality.

Policies and Governance for Resilient and Sustainable Cities and Regions

by Ulrich Graute 1 January 2025
It was a tremendous privilege in my life to meet Rosalynn and Jimmy Carter for the first time in 1984 (picture) and then again in the summer of 1985 during my internship at Koinonia Farm near Americus, Georgia (USA). Jimmy Carter, who served as the 39th president of the U.S. from 1977 to 1981, died on December 29, 2024, at his home in Plains, Ga. Jimmy Carter was a lifelong farmer who worked with his hands building houses for the poor well into his 90s. I didn't agree with him on all issues (the early 1980s were the time of a new US missile deployment in Germany ordered by Jimmy Carter and a large peace movement against it) but he took the time to discuss it with me and others at Koinonia Farm. That alone was amazing. Even more mind-blowing was that he continued hands-on work on peacebuilding and house renovation for the poor around the world with Habitat for Humanity International well into his 90s. If in my career providing hands-on support became more important than climbing my own career path, this was also due to the example Jimmy Carter gave in the decades after his Presidency. I learned a lot from him about working for peace with humbleness, love, and perseverance. Read more in the New York Times about why Jimmy Carter was known as much for his charity and diplomatic work later in life as he was for his single presidential term, which ended in 1981. https://lnkd.in/d9qxSmTM *. *. *. *. * Note: This post was first published on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/posts/graute_learning-to-work-hands-on-for-peace-from-activity-7279396908270309376-BBjV?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
by Ulrich Graute 2 December 2024
In 2024, for the first time since 2000, the Parties to the United Nations Rio Conventions on biodiversity, climate change, and desertification faced a very busy 3 months, moving from large Conferences of Parties (COP) in Cali (Colombia) for biodiversity in October to Baku (Azerbaijan) for climate in November to Riyadh (Saudi Arabia) for desertification in December. On top of this Triple-COP, there was the UN High Level Political Forum on Sustainable Development and the UN Summit of the Future in September in New York (USA) while UN-Habitat held its World Urban Forum in Cairo (Egypt), and let’s not forget the fifth session of the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee to develop an international legally binding instrument on plastic pollution, including in the marine environment (INC-5) which ended last weekend in Busan, South Korea. No real breakthroughs were reported but I noticed many promises to double future efforts. There is a lot that can be critically reviewed about the events, eg what’s the purpose of moving approximately 100.000+ delegates, UN staffers, and other participants worldwide if the necessary political will to agree and resources available are insufficient and the outcomes are limited accordingly? But such a critique would be a bit unfair since I don’t know how many new ideas and initiatives were born during those official meetings, side events, and informal chats that might bloom up in upcoming years despite of the multicrises we’re living in. What needs to be criticized is that the UN System is not progressing on its task to implement its many mandates more “synergistically” by targeting policies, programs, and initiatives to jointly address the goals of the Rio Conventions, SDGs, etc. Instead, the conferences referred to each other but worked mainly within their silos. This is not appropriate in a world full of interrelations and interdepensies. Well, no individual or group can follow up on every aspect, and swarm intelligence of conferences with thousands of participants each seems to be no functioning alternative. But what else could be done? To give an example: How about building an AI-based Large Language Model (LLM) trained with the UN Charter, all UN declarations, national and subnational resolutions, regulations, and programmes? AI Agents for the different conventions and agendas should then be asked to coordinate and propose “synergistic” proposals across policy levels. Of course, the use of artificial intelligence should be wisely supervised by a team of AI experts and professionals from all affected fields. I wouldn’t expect AI applications to solve all problems but to better inform decision-makers and UN agencies on integrated scenarios. This could help to increase efficiency, avoid duplicating efforts, and increase the overall problem-solving capacity of the UN. I would be happy to support such work with my governance and development experience across all policy levels. Picture source: https://www.iisd.org/articles/policy-analysis/cop-nature-climate-adaptation-mitigation
by Ulrich Graute 14 November 2024
Since the first climate COP in 1995, the Local Governments and Municipal Authorities (LGMA) Constituency has been representing local and regional governments at the processes under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The LGMA also represents ISOCARP - International Society of City and Regional Planners and Global Taskforce of Local and Regional Governments. ICLEI - Local Governments for Sustainability acts as the Focal Point of LGMA. The 2015 Paris Agreement marked a turning point, recognizing the essential role of these governments in enhancing Nationally Determined Contributions NDSs and driving transformative climate action. The LGMA is atively present in Baku with a robust agenda, numerous partners, and an esteemed delegation of political leaders representing local and subnational governments. At the center of the presence is the Multilevel Action & Urbanization Pavilion as the global stage for the city and region climate agenda during COP29. The Pavilion brings into focus not only the challenges and needs, but also the accomplishments and commitments of local and subnational actors on climate action. The Pavilion is open from 12 to 22 November in the Blue Zone, Area E, Pavilion I15. We are looking forward to welcoming you at the High-Level Opening on 12 November at 10:00 AM. Please find the agenda of LGMA attached. Please visit also the Youtube channel of ICLEI Global for daily updates https://lnkd.in/dddDCKtA Ulrich Graute - ISOCARP Online Delegate at COP29 and Chair of the ISOCARP Scientific Committee
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Date: 11 October 2024 Time: 10:45 - 13:15 Room: Accademie. Fisiocritici Session background and a short description of the Content Cities form the heart of human development and innovation, with 80% of global GDP generated within them and according to the United Nations approximately 56% of the world’s population now live in cities, and likely to reach nearly 70% by 2050. At the same time, the urban world is on a journey to revitalize cities, build new cities for growing populations, to dismantle inequalities, and to create a sustainable urban legacy for future generations. The growth and demands of cities are rapidly changing and looking (or exploring) for new systems and planning tools. In this situation, Artificial Intelligence (AI) provides a transformative potential in managing and planning cities. It can support, analyze, and predict the impact of policy changes, demographic shifts and development plans. AI facilitates a valuable foundation for productive dialogue and constructive debate between municipal authorities, and the public and private sector. AI enables the People-focused city through systems integration and collaborations. Simultaneously, the application of generative AI in the public domain brings a number of risks and pitfalls. To assure an ethical use of the new wave of innovation in planning it is necessary to strike a careful balance between risk mitigation and harnessing its capabilities for public good and resilience. The central concept of modern Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the intelligent agent. As of today, we have limitations to building one general-purpose AI program that does everything, instead AI developers build different types of agent programs for different types of problems and contexts. AI researchers agree that the new wave of innovation will impact all spheres of life and require more actors for future developments of AI. The discussion on the use of AI cannot be left alone to IT programmers and code developers. In this context, the objective of the conversation is to bring together planning practitioners and experts from city-making to discuss the use and potential impact of AI in urban planning and management and the related leadership of ISOCARP in the global dialogue on AI governance and capacity building of planners. Recent examples eg from Australia and Saudi Arabia will be presented along with panel discussions. Session Organizers Dr Ulrich Graute, Chair of the ISOCARP Scientific Committee, Berlin Dr Sunil Dubey, The UNSW Cities Institute, Sydney. 1. Introduction to the theme of the session by Ulrich Graute 2. The making of inclusive, prosperous and sustainable cities and the new challenges and opportunities provided by AI and Data 2.1 The case of Australia - Key note by Dr Sarah Hill, CEO Greater Sydney Commission and Western Parkland City Authority (New South Wales Govt, former) ‘Planning New Cities and Inclusive economic development’ - Western Sydney Aerotropolis – Australia’s 22nd Century City Making through Community, Creativity and Innovation. 2.2 The case of Saudi Arabia (10 min) Progress, Peace & Prosperity 2030 – How Saudi Cities are transforming using data and power of Ai. Dr Sunil Dubey 3. Roundtable Moderation: Ulrich Graute Guiding questions include AI in Urban Planning: Navigating the Intersection of Technology and Values – AI as a technical tool and/or as co-pilot in planning New Cities and inclusive economic development. Including AI in existing planning systems and processes and the requirement eg of a regulatory framework and capacity-building. What shape will AI have on future cities? ISOCARP and the new wave of technological innovation. Panelists: Sarah Hill, Executive Project Director (Public Investment Fund PIF, Saudi Arabia) Eric Huybrecht, Congress Director ISOCARP’s 60th WPC, Institute Paris Region Elisabeth Belpaire, ISOCARP President-Elect Ulrich Graute, Chair of ISOCARP SciCom Sunil Dubey, Smart Cities thought leader. Website of the 60th ISOCARP World Planning Congress https://isocarp.org/activities/60th-wpc-siena-2024/ Website of the Academy of Social Sciences (UK) AI in urban planning: risks and opportunities https://acss.org.uk/publications/ai-in-urban-planning-risks-and-opportunities/
by Ulrich Graute 15 August 2024
Privacy Communicting with AI raises privacy concerns A CV is personal documents including private information you may not want to share with everybody. Therefore, the sending of your CV to somebody (eg as part of an application or business offer) is usually considered as confidential. Using generative AI, for instance ChatGPT, to work on your CV, website or LinkedIn profile should be carefully considered because the info you share about yourself with ChatGPT stays with ChatGPT even if you delete it from your account after you finished your conversation. Nonetheless, I decided to take it easier using AI because my profile and CV is no secret in anyway. Through dozens of publications since the 1990s, speeches at many conferences worldwide, as blogger with an own website (www.ugraute.de) and a LinkedIn profile with close to 6000 followers you can find everything what’s written in my CV somewhere on the internet. And, most importantly, I carefully review everything that AI suggests to me, I review and finalize texts before I use them. While I cannot fully exclude misuse of information, the responsibility for the content of my website and CV remains with me. And I still use a CV version not aided by AI for business offers and applications. AI as a second eye - When should you consider using AI to review your CV and profile? After 16 years of mostly (but not only) working for the United Nations I am now shifting more attention beyond the UN to the private sector, national and local authorities, other international organizations, NGOs etc. All UN agencies have their own mandates, interests and priorities. As UN staffer and later as UN consultant I learnt the rules of the institution and lived with the limitations they generate for management and goal achievement. However, the UN, with its historical baggage of countless mandates, inadequate structures and resources and some overly cautious employees, at times stands in its own way. I want to continue supporting global cooperation using my global perspective, my skills in project and program management, cross-cultural communication, policy analysis and stakeholder cooperation. However, it is time to refocus and look at my skills and achievements from a different, a non-UN perspective. This is where AI comes into play as an additional opportunity to support the reorientation of my or your career. AI supports my own reflections on my interests and strategy and it does it in a very inspirational way. I recommend the same to others but, if possible, it should be only an opportunity in addition to exchange with friends, colleagues, books, trainers, coaches etc. How did I use Chat GPT to review my website and CV? ChatGPT is a conversational tool, and it’s for free in its basic version. You can login here: https://chatgpt.com/auth/login. After opening an account and login you find a box where you can enter you question (called prompt). You push Enter and get an answer within seconds. If the answer is not inspirational, correct or satisfying you just go on submitting a new or modified prompt. This way conversations with ChatGPT becomes conversational and easy. In this process ChatGPT gets to know you better and learns from your prompts. Prompting, ie formulating the right questions is key to get useful answers out of the conversation and it’s worth to spend some time training how to prompt. In my case, an earlier prompt submitted to ChatGPT had produced already this suggestion: “Adjust your communication style to match the language and expectations of non-UN clients, avoiding overly technical or UN-specific jargon.” That was the point when ChatGPT confirmed my own guess that I have to change communication when I look beyond the UN world. To further explore this, I submitted additional prompts including this one: “ChatGPT, please rewrite my CV in a style more appealing to private companies.” The answer after my own review and fine tuning produced the short CV version which you can find here: https://www.ugraute.de/bio-and-cv Could I have produced this without AI? Of course, I have produced two pages versions of my CV on my own. The point is, that many things which are super important at the UN as “ an animal of its own kind ” are not so relevant outside of the UN. In such situations it may take a lot of time to decide what to leave in and what to take out of your CV. A second eye like AI proposing specific cuts and a repackaging can be very inspirational and helpful to get a fresh and crispier look at your own experience and credentials. I also liked very much that ChatGPT explained its approach to me: “To make your CV more appealing to private companies, I'll focus on making the language more dynamic, emphasizing your key achievements, leadership roles, and strategic impact. I'll also streamline the format for clarity and brevity.” Of course, I reviewed the suggested version of my CV and other website texts revised by AI to confirm the correctness of the content. Overall, this review exercise is a test to use a new technical tool. It is certainly inspirational. Success remains to be seen but that is also the case when I review my CV for an application or if I review my website in a traditional way. I decided for an open approach to use AI and to talk about my personal experience in this post, because in this new wave of innovation, we are all learners and can help each other. As adviser, I like to share, teach, and keep learning, inside or outside of the UN.
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Figure: Human-in-the-loop intervention. ‘The Ethical Concerns of Artificial Intelligence in Urban Planning’ Thomas W. Sanchez, Marc Brenman, and Xinyue Ye (2024)
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A slide from the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) presented at the opening of HLPF highlights that only 17% of the SDG targets are on track
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Background and Objectives The Gerd Albers Award (GAA) is celebrating inspiring publications such as books and essays. It was established in 1999 in honor of Professor Gerd Albers, a co-founder and past president of ISOCARP, who placed a particular emphasis on the task of publishing as a means of elucidating both the current debate and practical achievements in the planning field. This reputable award is given for the high-quality academic publications written by ISOCARP members. Eligible entries Pertinent submissions include the following publications by ISOCARP members published in the period between July 1, 2023, and June 31, 2024: • Books and/or Book chapters • Journal articles • Published project reports Exhibition catalogues and/or unpublished reports are ineligible. Unpublished journal articles are eligible if the publisher’s acceptance letter is attached to the article submitted. Evaluation criteria Content: • Thematic introduction • Contribution to discussions on the topic • Consistence and coherence (conceptual background, methodological approach) • Target audience Design: • Clarity • Technical requirements • Production Language All languages are eligible, although the “official languages” of the Society are English, French, German, and Spanish. Non-English entries must have an extended abstract in English (min. 3 pages). Jury The jury consists of three members of the ISOCARP Scientific Committee and the A&P Program Director. The deliberations and votes of the jury are confidential. Prof. Sebnem Hoskara Dr. Ulrich Graute Dr. Dorota Kamrowska-Załuska Prof. Ali A. Alraouf (A&P Program Director) Substance of the Award The Award is bestowed in three categories: GAA ‘Best Book’, GAA ‘Best Article’ and Special Mention. The Award winners are announced during the official ceremony at the ISOCARP annual World Planning Congress. GAA ‘Best Book’ and GAA ‘Best Article’ get two years of free membership to ISOCARP, official ISOCARP award certification and its dissemination through the ISOCARP website, social media and newsletter. Special Mention gets an official ISOCARP award certification and its dissemination through the ISOCARP website, social media and newsletter. Who is eligible? • Scholars • Writers • Book Authors • Researchers • Urban and City Critics • Professors and Academics Prize • Recognition at the ISOCARP 60th Congress in Siena at the Awards Special Session. • Certificate. • ISOCARP Medal. • Waiving form the registration for a single representative of the winners. • One year Membership at ISOCARP for a single representative of the winners. Registration fee 150 Euros for each entry in the Best Book Award (a candidate can apply with multiple proposals). 50 Euros for each entry in the Best Paper Award (a candidate can apply with multiple proposals). Submission material ⦁ Contribution (book/chapter/article) in pdf format Application procedure 1. Submit your online application https://isocarp.org/gerd-albers-award-2024-submission-form/ 2. Pay the registration fee: 150 Euros for Best Book Award and 50 Euros for Best Paper Award 3. Please, send your application to Ali Alraouf, ISOCARP Board member (alialraouf@isocarp.org) and ISOCARP HQ (awards@isocarp.org). Kindly specify the email subject: GAA 2024 Candidature. Deadline for submission August 15, 2024 Submit your application here https://isocarp.org/gerd-albers-award-2024-submission-form/
by Ulrich Graute 1 July 2024
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